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Red115
940151.8
120829.5
421334.4
Blue54
747225.2
379240.8
517615.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1389405015020025011554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+59Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +38
13Coral scored#4
48Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
62Total teleop24
Reef
9L4#3
3L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
115Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.80.0
50.951.0
Auto14.0
Teleop31.4
End6.4
red by 11.0
3792
#20
40.80.6
41.540.8
Auto9.1
Teleop24.8
End7.1
Second
4213
#13
34.40.0
33.533.5
Auto10.3
Teleop23.8
End0.2
red by 9.2
7472
#11
25.20.6
25.825.2
Auto5.7
Teleop16.5
End3.0
Third
1208
#19
29.50.0
28.628.6
Auto5.6
Teleop19.5
End4.4
red by 14.5
15.00.6
15.615.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End1.4