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Red78
177524.0
316023.7
184736.3
Blue141
596837.4
173055.5
182541.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions701375010015020078141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+51
Endgame+63
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +32
6Leave6
1Coral scored#8
6Coral points38
12Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +19
13Coral scored#18
48Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
62Total teleop81
Reef
7L4#9
3L3#7
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points0
78Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1847
#13
36.30.2
40.440.6
Auto7.1
Teleop27.0
End2.2
blue by 19.2
55.51.2
59.260.5
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End8.4
Second
1775
#28
24.00.2
20.921.1
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End2.1
blue by 17.9
1825
#16
41.91.2
35.937.1
Auto11.8
Teleop26.1
End3.9
Third
3160
#21
23.70.2
11.111.2
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End3.8
blue by 13.7
37.41.2
25.126.3
Auto10.0
Teleop23.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned