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Red106
962619.6
882540.3
942833.4
Blue42
198214.2
176923.8
176318.2
74%Model gave it26%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81610204010012014016010642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+64Teleop
+66Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +70
18Coral scored#5
65Coral points19
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
93Total teleop23
Reef
6L4#2
6L3#3
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points2
106Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.32.1
25.727.7
Auto4.5
Teleop30.5
End5.3
red by 16.5
1769
#20
23.81.5
20.619.2
Auto4.6
Teleop17.6
End1.6
Second
9428
#19
33.42.1
27.029.1
Auto4.9
Teleop25.4
End3.1
red by 15.2
1763
#31
18.21.5
14.813.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.2
End1.2
Third
9626
#25
19.63.5
16.319.7
Auto0.9
Teleop16.4
End2.3
red by 5.4
1982
#34
14.22.5
21.519.0
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed