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Red73
199730.3
176923.8
445516.4
Blue76
555039.0
162223.5
591820.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73582040801001207376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +3
9Coral scored#9
34Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
54Total teleop51
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
6Foul points2
73Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1997
#23
30.30.1
26.026.1
Auto3.6
Teleop25.9
End0.7
blue by 8.8
5550
#17
39.02.1
25.627.7
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End3.3
Second
1769
#20
23.80.1
26.226.3
Auto4.6
Teleop17.6
End1.6
red by 0.3
1622
#30
23.51.2
14.315.5
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End1.9
Third
4455
#32
16.40.1
12.913.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End4.4
blue by 3.8
5918
#27
20.22.1
15.417.5
Auto2.6
Teleop16.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed