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Red100
199730.3
184736.3
180611.2
Blue111
882540.3
171049.2
198214.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831064060100120140160100111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+23
Endgame+35
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +12
13Coral scored#15
47Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
61Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
26Foul points2
100Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1847
#13
36.30.5
44.043.5
Auto7.1
Teleop27.0
End2.2
blue by 12.9
49.20.9
46.247.1
Auto10.9
Teleop35.6
End2.6
Second
1997
#23
30.30.5
26.025.5
Auto3.6
Teleop25.9
End0.7
blue by 10.0
40.30.9
33.534.4
Auto4.5
Teleop30.5
End5.3
Third
1806
#36
11.20.5
11.511.0
Auto1.5
Teleop6.6
End3.1
blue by 3.0
1982
#34
14.21.4
15.717.1
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned