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Red64
664736.7
176318.2
316023.7
Blue142
199730.3
580160.1
941047.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions601055015020064142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+62
Endgame+72
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +59
8Coral scored#22
27Coral points80
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
49Total teleop108
Reef
3L4#9
3L3#7
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
0Foul points6
64Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6647
#29
36.70.2
39.339.1
Auto3.8
Teleop30.6
End2.3
blue by 23.5
60.13.0
43.346.2
Auto10.9
Teleop42.1
End7.1
Second
3160
#21
23.70.2
9.59.3
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End3.8
blue by 23.5
9410
#14
47.23.0
27.430.4
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End9.8
Third
1763
#31
18.20.2
12.011.8
Auto3.8
Teleop13.2
End1.2
blue by 12.1
1997
#23
30.33.0
19.922.9
Auto3.6
Teleop25.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned