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Red117
555039.0
445516.4
171049.2
Blue126
235740.6
173055.5
177524.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8212250100150117126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points10
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +13
19Coral scored#15
67Coral points54
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#4
6Processor points24
8Net points16
14Algae points40
81Total teleop94
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#5
6L2#2
6L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
117Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.22.5
41.043.5
Auto10.9
Teleop35.6
End2.6
blue by 6.3
55.51.1
58.259.2
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End8.4
Second
5550
#17
39.04.2
25.429.6
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End3.3
blue by 1.6
2357
#10
40.61.1
32.133.1
Auto9.2
Teleop28.3
End3.2
Third
4455
#32
16.42.5
12.615.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End4.4
blue by 7.5
1775
#28
24.01.2
19.720.9
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsEarned