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Red158
882540.3
93529.9
941047.2
Blue144
182541.9
245729.6
328443.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211300200300400500600700800158144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+4Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +18
23Coral scored#22
84Coral points78
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
120Total teleop102
Reef
9L4#11
4L3#6
7L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
158Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9410
#14
47.21.1
44.445.5
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End9.8
red by 3.9
3284
#12
43.30.7
42.943.6
Auto6.5
Teleop35.1
End1.6
Second
40.31.1
37.338.4
Auto4.5
Teleop30.5
End5.3
blue by 1.6
1825
#16
41.90.7
41.542.2
Auto11.8
Teleop26.1
End3.9
Third
935
#33
29.91.1
26.928.0
Auto3.2
Teleop23.6
End3.2
red by 0.4
29.60.7
29.229.9
Auto3.3
Teleop23.6
End2.6