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Red147
175661.8
596821.5
464643.6
Blue115
193926.6
882518.9
198742.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108102708090120130140147115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+14Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points12
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +7
16Coral scored#16
58Coral points59
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
18Processor points18
28Net points20
46Algae points38
104Total teleop97
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#26
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
147Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.84.6
44.248.8
Auto7.7
Teleop45.4
End8.7
red by 19.6
42.31.5
38.640.1
Auto10.0
Teleop25.1
End7.2
Second
43.64.6
29.634.2
Auto10.8
Teleop27.6
End5.2
red by 17.0
1939
#24
26.61.5
25.927.4
Auto5.0
Teleop20.5
End1.1
Third
5968
#16
21.54.6
20.725.2
Auto7.3
Teleop13.5
End0.6
red by 2.6
8825
#23
18.91.5
25.827.3
Auto2.6
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed