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Red123
421329.5
193926.6
766217.3
Blue120
172317.6
299649.4
580931.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58910204080100120140123120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+15Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +4
18Coral scored#16
65Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
89Total teleop85
Reef
10L4#5
6L3#4
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
123Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4213
#13
29.56.3
27.133.5
Auto8.9
Teleop20.5
End0.2
blue by 19.9
49.43.7
41.545.1
Auto11.9
Teleop31.2
End6.3
Second
1939
#24
26.66.3
18.324.6
Auto5.0
Teleop20.5
End1.1
blue by 4.6
5809
#11
31.23.7
28.031.7
Auto5.7
Teleop23.6
End1.9
Third
7662
#33
17.36.3
11.818.1
Auto5.0
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 0.3
1723
#30
17.63.7
12.516.1
Auto1.5
Teleop14.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned