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Red102
464643.6
392837.1
81129.8
Blue129
90316.5
198742.3
175661.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78123050100150200102129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points20
27Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +19
14Coral scored#17
51Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
61Total teleop80
Reef
9L4#8
4L3#6
5L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
102Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.63.2
34.237.4
Auto10.8
Teleop27.6
End5.2
blue by 18.2
61.82.7
48.851.6
Auto7.7
Teleop45.4
End8.7
Second
3928
#25
37.13.2
28.531.7
Auto8.7
Teleop26.0
End2.4
blue by 5.2
42.32.7
40.142.8
Auto10.0
Teleop25.1
End7.2
Third
8112
#31DQ
9.83.2
10.413.6
Auto4.4
Teleop2.3
End3.1
red by 3.3
9031
#36
6.52.7
15.418.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned