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Red57
177520.6
806928.2
250635.9
Blue85
681716.2
940139.5
1032213.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74852040601001201405785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+36
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave6
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points24
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +12
7Coral scored#8
25Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
0Processor points6
12Net points16
12Algae points22
37Total teleop49
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#18
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
57Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2506
#24
35.91.0
25.024.0
Auto2.9
Teleop26.1
End7.0
blue by 3.5
39.51.3
37.839.1
Auto14.4
Teleop18.8
End6.3
Second
8069
#20
28.21.0
22.221.2
Auto3.1
Teleop19.3
End5.8
red by 12.0
6817
#26
16.21.3
17.618.9
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End2.4
Third
1775
#11
20.61.0
18.717.7
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End2.7
red by 7.2
13.45.7
13.419.1
Auto5.8
Teleop5.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed