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Red162
940139.5
450060.0
339718.7
Blue41
749618.5
493118.4
711716.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1253705010015020016241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+113Teleop
+121Endgame
+121Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +92
23Coral scored#5
84Coral points18
3Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
18Processor points0
16Net points8
34Algae points8
118Total teleop26
Reef
8L4#2
9L3#2
6L2#1
6L1 · trough#1
36Game pieces#8
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +121
0Foul points0
162Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.03.2
48.151.3
Auto15.6
Teleop38.1
End6.3
red by 41.5
7496
#21
18.51.4
14.413.0
Auto3.5
Teleop12.2
End2.8
Second
39.55.4
38.443.8
Auto14.4
Teleop18.8
End6.3
red by 21.1
4931
#17
18.41.4
10.99.5
Auto2.5
Teleop8.5
End7.4
Third
18.75.4
15.020.4
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End2.9
red by 2.4
7117
#22
16.31.4
14.012.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed