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Red86
379234.9
549226.5
339718.7
Blue35
1031720.2
176312.0
588916.6
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8242020601001201408635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+49Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +43
13Coral scored#5
45Coral points18
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
65Total teleop22
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
86Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3792
#12
34.90.6
25.626.2
Auto8.1
Teleop21.7
End5.0
red by 14.7
20.22.0
16.114.1
Auto5.7
Teleop11.4
End3.1
Second
5492
#16
26.50.6
20.621.2
Auto3.1
Teleop18.2
End5.2
red by 9.9
5889
#36
16.62.0
14.112.1
Auto3.0
Teleop9.4
End4.1
Third
18.70.6
19.620.2
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End2.9
red by 6.7
1763
#41
12.01.2
9.58.3
Auto2.0
Teleop8.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed