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Red50
55435.0
749618.5
517616.5
Blue59
432931.6
807713.5
177520.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767740601001205059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points4
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +14
5Coral scored#9
18Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
28Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
50Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
554
#13
35.02.5
34.932.4
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.0
red by 3.3
4329
#31
31.61.6
29.127.5
Auto4.0
Teleop27.0
End0.7
Second
7496
#21
18.52.5
15.613.1
Auto3.5
Teleop12.2
End2.8
blue by 2.0
1775
#11
20.61.6
20.719.1
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End2.7
Third
5176
#30
16.52.5
17.014.5
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End0.3
red by 2.9
8077
#18
13.51.6
17.616.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed