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Red235
331480.3
1159.8
260781.4
Blue192
589584.9
314260.3
34180.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226238150200250300235192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+33Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
12Coral scored#12
58Coral points59
58Total auto65
TeleoperatedRed +40
18Coral scored#23
65Coral points81
6Processor algae#2
10Net algae#2
36Processor points12
40Net points8
76Algae points20
141Total teleop101
Reef
14L4#15
5L3#8
5L2#6
6L1 · trough#6
46Game pieces#39
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
235Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.40.3
81.081.4
Auto19.2
Teleop50.4
End11.7
blue by 3.5
84.90.8
85.784.9
Auto25.3
Teleop51.0
End8.6
Second
3314
#15
80.30.3
79.980.3
Auto19.8
Teleop47.9
End12.6
Level
341
#1
80.30.8
81.180.3
Auto13.6
Teleop56.9
End9.8
Third
11
#26
59.80.3
59.559.8
Auto11.6
Teleop40.2
End8.0
blue by 0.5
3142
#24
60.30.8
61.160.3
Auto13.2
Teleop38.3
End8.7