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Red186
55552.4
171245.7
363751.3
Blue198
314260.3
272241.0
164052.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1441600100200300400500186198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+24
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
7Coral scored#8
37Coral points41
37Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +14
25Coral scored#28
91Coral points101
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
12Processor points12
20Net points24
32Algae points36
123Total teleop137
Reef
11L4#13
10L3#11
7L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
39Game pieces#44
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
186Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#21
52.42.5
42.144.6
Auto13.2
Teleop31.5
End7.7
blue by 7.9
3142
#24
60.32.7
52.154.8
Auto13.2
Teleop38.3
End8.7
Second
3637
#33
51.32.5
42.444.9
Auto11.0
Teleop32.0
End8.3
blue by 1.2
1640
#11
52.52.7
43.245.9
Auto11.8
Teleop33.8
End6.9
Third
1712
#31
45.72.5
37.339.8
Auto7.1
Teleop31.3
End7.4
red by 4.8
2722
#44
41.02.7
41.143.8
Auto12.2
Teleop29.2
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned