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Qual 482025 FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship
Red160
125754.9
704529.2
180759.1
Blue127
108951.3
1159.8
272241.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143169100200250160127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
+23Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave3
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points37
16Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +47
26Coral scored#13
92Coral points47
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
18Processor points12
20Net points24
38Algae points36
130Total teleop83
Reef
10L4#4
8L3#6
5L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
160Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1807
#39
59.11.4
55.3→56.6
Auto10.6
Teleop42.6
End5.9
blue by 0.7
11
#26
59.82.5
54.2→51.7
Auto11.6
Teleop40.2
End8.0
Second
1257
#12
54.91.4
43.8→45.2
Auto11.2
Teleop39.3
End4.4
red by 3.6
1089
#58
51.32.5
51.4→48.9
Auto15.5
Teleop33.3
End2.5
Third
7045
#37
29.21.4
29.2→30.5
Auto6.5
Teleop18.3
End4.4
blue by 11.8
2722
#44
41.02.5
47.2→44.7
Auto12.2
Teleop29.2
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned31%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsMissed