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Red135
299249.1
45644.5
375318.1
Blue102
804453.2
709421.3
880834.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125125110120130140135102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+27Teleop
+35Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
5Coral scored#4
25Coral points21
34Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +23
14Coral scored#11
49Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
81Total teleop58
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#4
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#19
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +33
6Foul points8
135Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.10.5
48.649.1
Auto11.6
Teleop35.3
End2.1
blue by 4.2
53.20.4
53.653.2
Auto14.7
Teleop29.8
End8.7
Second
456
#2
44.50.5
44.044.5
Auto5.5
Teleop34.3
End4.7
red by 10.3
34.20.4
34.634.2
Auto8.3
Teleop20.6
End5.2
Third
3753
#27
18.10.5
17.518.1
Auto5.6
Teleop11.4
End1.0
blue by 3.3
7094
#23
21.30.5
21.821.3
Auto3.7
Teleop14.6
End3.0