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Red28
303921.9
930911.4
191232.2
Blue65
915321.8
401311.7
433629.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7567020401001201401602865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+41
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +37
2Coral scored#11
8Coral points41
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
12Total teleop49
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
28Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1912
#11
32.24.4
24.420.0
Auto6.8
Teleop22.2
End3.1
red by 2.9
29.30.3
28.428.7
Auto3.5
Teleop24.4
End1.4
Second
3039
#28
21.94.4
28.924.5
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End2.6
red by 0.2
9153
#12
21.80.3
17.517.7
Auto6.0
Teleop15.2
End0.5
Third
9309
#30
11.44.4
11.67.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End0.8
blue by 0.3
4013
#15
11.70.3
13.814.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed