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Red85
1030914.0
142120.9
218326.4
Blue56
375318.1
222117.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71330204060801001208556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+19Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +19
12Coral scored#10
43Coral points36
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
63Total teleop44
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
85Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2183
#13
26.41.5
24.125.6
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End2.9
red by 8.3
3753
#27
18.11.1
12.513.6
Auto5.6
Teleop11.4
End1.0
Second
1421
#36
20.91.5
16.017.5
Auto0.9
Teleop17.8
End2.2
red by 3.4
2221
#14
17.51.1
15.316.4
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Third
14.01.5
16.417.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.3
End1.6
red by 4.6
9.31.1
6.27.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed