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Red70
940514.8
943510.1
601731.8
Blue154
299249.1
303921.9
971733.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5911020408010012014016018070154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+68
Endgame+66
Fouls+84
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave0
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points37
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +40
10Coral scored#14
35Coral points51
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
6Processor points18
4Net points16
10Algae points34
45Total teleop85
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#7
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +84
0Foul points18
70Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.1
32.732.8
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End6.9
blue by 17.3
49.13.0
42.445.4
Auto11.6
Teleop35.3
End2.1
Second
9405
#31
14.80.1
14.614.8
Auto2.8
Teleop8.9
End3.0
blue by 19.1
33.83.0
30.433.4
Auto6.6
Teleop20.7
End6.6
Third
9435
#33
10.10.1
9.910.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End2.2
blue by 11.8
3039
#28
21.93.5
17.921.4
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned