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Red76
586314.6
218326.4
191232.2
Blue58
192717.3
74749.8
930911.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88300204060801001201407658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+20Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
10Coral scored#7
35Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
49Total teleop36
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
76Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1912
#11
32.20.5
30.731.1
Auto6.8
Teleop22.2
End3.1
red by 14.9
1927
#25
17.32.4
14.917.3
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Second
2183
#13
26.40.5
26.026.5
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End2.9
red by 15.0
9309
#30
11.42.4
9.011.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End0.8
Third
5863
#34
14.60.5
14.114.6
Auto3.7
Teleop10.2
End0.7
red by 4.8
7474
#32
9.82.6
7.29.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed