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Red49
218326.4
541012.5
433629.3
Blue70
1030914.0
146625.4
915321.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82732040601001204970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+15
Endgame+15
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +11
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
40Total teleop51
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points6
49Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.5
29.428.9
Auto3.5
Teleop24.4
End1.4
red by 3.9
1466
#10
25.40.1
25.325.4
Auto4.7
Teleop20.5
End0.3
Second
2183
#13
26.40.6
26.525.9
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End2.9
red by 4.6
9153
#12
21.80.1
21.621.7
Auto6.0
Teleop15.2
End0.5
Third
5410
#29
12.50.5
12.612.0
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End0.8
blue by 1.5
14.00.1
13.813.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.3
End1.6