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Red242
97182.2
397059.6
1323B80.0
Blue267
254100.8
661940.9
1323117.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225272100150200250300350242267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+35
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
10Coral scored#12
51Coral points62
51Total auto65
TeleoperatedBlue +21
31Coral scored#39
113Coral points142
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
18Processor points18
24Net points16
42Algae points34
155Total teleop176
Reef
13L4#22
14L3#14
10L2#11
4L1 · trough#4
50Game pieces#58
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
242Total score267

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#5
82.20.5
81.782.2
Auto14.8
Teleop57.3
End10.1
blue by 34.9
117.00.2
116.8117.0
Auto28.3
Teleop76.6
End12.1
Second
80.00.6
79.380.0
Auto17.8
Teleop52.9
End9.3
blue by 20.8
254
#2
100.80.2
100.6100.8
Auto27.4
Teleop63.8
End9.6
Third
3970
#43
59.60.5
59.159.6
Auto10.2
Teleop41.8
End7.6
red by 18.6
6619
#31
40.90.2
40.840.9
Auto5.3
Teleop29.1
End6.5