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Red193
97182.2
463560.6
6647B30.4
Blue115
213565.2
5419B30.5
958430.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17711950100150200250300193115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+70Teleop
+78Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points17
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +74
33Coral scored#14
118Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
150Total teleop76
Reef
10L4#4
12L3#5
7L2#4
8L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#22
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
0Foul points0
193Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#5
82.21.8
75.377.1
Auto14.8
Teleop57.3
End10.1
red by 16.9
65.20.8
60.860.0
Auto19.3
Teleop42.9
End2.9
Second
4635
#20
60.61.8
62.864.5
Auto13.6
Teleop37.8
End9.2
red by 30.1
30.51.4
23.021.6
Auto0.5
Teleop25.6
End4.4
Third
30.42.9
18.121.0
Auto1.5
Teleop24.2
End4.7
red by 0.3
9584
#34
30.10.8
31.530.7
Auto4.3
Teleop19.1
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned