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Red160
254100.8
5026B28.6
1323C48.9
Blue154
876830.1
1678D64.1
581C38.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194119050100150250300160154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+16Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points34
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +23
24Coral scored#23
86Coral points83
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#2
12Processor points12
28Net points8
40Algae points20
126Total teleop103
Reef
11L4#14
6L3#7
6L2#3
7L1 · trough#6
39Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
160Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
100.80.3
90.390.0
Auto27.4
Teleop63.8
End9.6
red by 36.7
64.14.1
46.350.4
Auto17.0
Teleop42.6
End4.5
Second
48.90.4
50.249.8
Auto5.6
Teleop41.4
End2.0
red by 10.9
581C
#18
38.04.1
40.744.8
Auto7.9
Teleop27.5
End2.5
Third
28.60.4
20.520.0
Auto2.2
Teleop23.2
End3.3
blue by 1.5
8768
#28
30.12.5
27.229.7
Auto2.4
Teleop26.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
91%Coral oddsEarned52%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned