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Red195
58190.9
876830.1
581B70.0
Blue132
5940B15.1
971B38.6
463560.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193134050100150250300195132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+49Teleop
+59Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
7Coral scored#4
34Coral points21
34Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +45
31Coral scored#19
113Coral points68
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
141Total teleop96
Reef
19L4#8
8L3#8
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
44Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
4Foul points0
195Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#3
90.91.3
87.488.7
Auto19.7
Teleop61.7
End9.5
red by 30.3
4635
#20
60.60.3
61.461.6
Auto13.6
Teleop37.8
End9.2
Second
581B
#24
70.02.2
53.355.5
Auto17.9
Teleop45.2
End6.9
red by 31.5
971B
#26
38.60.4
34.835.2
Auto8.7
Teleop27.8
End2.1
Third
8768
#28
30.11.3
30.832.1
Auto2.4
Teleop26.1
End1.6
red by 15.0
15.10.4
31.932.3
Auto0.9
Teleop12.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
65%Coral oddsEarned70%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsMissed