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Red137
541935.3
167154.6
1323C48.9
Blue114
630533.0
664736.1
1678C36.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1621130200300400137114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+13Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points26
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +16
17Coral scored#17
60Coral points60
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
18Processor points6
20Net points16
38Algae points22
98Total teleop82
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#8
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
137Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#15
54.60.2
46.346.1
Auto13.9
Teleop36.1
End4.7
red by 18.5
6647
#35
36.10.2
39.039.2
Auto5.7
Teleop27.6
End2.8
Second
48.90.3
50.350.0
Auto5.6
Teleop41.4
End2.0
red by 12.8
36.10.3
39.539.9
Auto7.9
Teleop25.9
End2.3
Third
5419
#23
35.30.2
42.742.5
Auto7.8
Teleop21.8
End5.7
red by 2.3
6305
#27
33.00.2
32.432.6
Auto4.0
Teleop27.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
64%Coral oddsMissed42%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed