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Red161
2073B33.1
541935.3
58190.9
Blue129
594073.0
841B39.4
581757.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169191050100150250300350400161129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+32Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave3
7Coral scored#7
36Coral points34
45Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +24
21Coral scored#16
76Coral points58
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
12Processor points6
20Net points20
32Algae points26
108Total teleop84
Reef
10L4#11
7L3#6
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
2Foul points2
161Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#3
90.90.2
91.391.5
Auto19.7
Teleop61.7
End9.5
red by 17.9
5940
#11
73.02.8
73.971.1
Auto19.0
Teleop45.1
End8.9
Second
5419
#23
35.30.2
37.737.8
Auto7.8
Teleop21.8
End5.7
blue by 21.8
5817
#14
57.02.8
58.455.6
Auto8.2
Teleop47.4
End1.5
Third
33.10.3
27.527.8
Auto8.0
Teleop25.2
End-0.1
blue by 6.3
841B
#42
39.44.7
36.832.1
Auto5.0
Teleop31.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsEarned78%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsMissed