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Red200
463560.6
207355.5
213565.2
Blue49
541935.3
4698B16.9
5940B15.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2058905015025030020049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+149Teleop
+149Endgame
+151Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
9Leave0
5Coral scored#2
25Coral points9
34Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +124
29Coral scored#5
104Coral points18
3Processor algae#0
7Net algae#2
18Processor points0
28Net points8
46Algae points8
150Total teleop26
Reef
15L4#2
8L3#1
8L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
44Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +151
2Foul points0
200Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.20.8
63.764.4
Auto19.3
Teleop42.9
End2.9
red by 30.0
5419
#23
35.33.6
37.834.3
Auto7.8
Teleop21.8
End5.7
Second
4635
#20
60.60.8
58.959.7
Auto13.6
Teleop37.8
End9.2
red by 43.7
16.95.5
30.925.4
Auto6.4
Teleop4.0
End6.5
Third
2073
#25
55.50.8
53.554.3
Auto12.4
Teleop35.8
End7.3
red by 40.4
15.15.5
21.716.2
Auto0.9
Teleop12.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
81%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned