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Red104
5940B15.1
397059.6
6647B30.4
Blue50
4698B16.9
254B55.3
1678C36.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12215605010020025010450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+46Teleop
+48Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +49
14Coral scored#6
49Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
73Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#3
6L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
6Foul points0
104Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#43
59.60.7
58.958.1
Auto10.2
Teleop41.8
End7.6
red by 4.3
254B
#10
55.38.5
65.056.5
Auto9.0
Teleop39.6
End6.7
Second
30.41.1
31.530.4
Auto1.5
Teleop24.2
End4.7
blue by 5.7
36.18.5
44.636.1
Auto7.9
Teleop25.9
End2.3
Third
15.11.1
16.215.1
Auto0.9
Teleop12.8
End1.4
blue by 1.8
16.98.5
25.416.9
Auto6.4
Teleop4.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed71%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsMissed