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Red35
970618.4
592414.7
5940B15.1
Blue156
581757.0
630533.0
601739.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8713805010015020025035156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+101
Endgame+111
Fouls+121
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
3Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +91
4Coral scored#21
16Coral points77
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
0Processor points18
8Net points20
8Algae points38
24Total teleop115
Reef
1L4#10
1L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +121
2Foul points12
35Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9706
#40
18.43.1
15.812.7
Auto4.6
Teleop10.8
End3.0
blue by 38.6
5817
#14
57.01.7
53.455.1
Auto8.2
Teleop47.4
End1.5
Second
15.15.2
41.035.8
Auto0.9
Teleop12.8
End1.4
blue by 24.6
6017
#32
39.71.7
33.835.5
Auto4.1
Teleop28.8
End6.9
Third
5924
#46
14.73.1
20.317.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End0.6
blue by 18.3
6305
#27
33.01.7
28.029.7
Auto4.0
Teleop27.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned