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Red153
440056.2
478220.3
347868.5
Blue52
951321.7
664739.3
228333.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159985020025015352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+69Teleop
+101Endgame
+101Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave0
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points16
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +48
12Coral scored#7
42Coral points24
3Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
18Processor points0
20Net points8
38Algae points8
80Total teleop32
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#2
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#12
BargeRed +32
36Cage & park4
36Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +101
0Foul points0
153Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.50.2
67.567.7
Auto13.4
Teleop45.4
End9.7
red by 29.2
39.30.9
39.438.5
Auto3.5
Teleop35.2
End0.6
Second
56.20.2
55.255.4
Auto16.4
Teleop34.5
End5.3
red by 23.2
33.00.9
33.132.1
Auto6.3
Teleop22.5
End4.2
Third
4782
#27
20.30.2
19.319.5
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End3.5
blue by 1.4
9513
#30
21.71.0
21.820.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End4.7