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Red98
670231.0
348026.7
440056.2
Blue67
810520.4
497719.3
228333.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110662040801001201401609867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+41Teleop
+49Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points16
20Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +40
10Coral scored#4
36Coral points14
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
64Total teleop24
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#9
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points18
98Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.20.3
48.648.9
Auto16.4
Teleop34.5
End5.3
red by 23.2
33.01.0
28.527.5
Auto6.3
Teleop22.5
End4.2
Second
6702
#10
31.00.6
22.322.9
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End1.7
red by 10.6
8105
#15
20.41.6
14.713.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End4.5
Third
3480
#18
26.70.3
22.022.4
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End1.6
red by 7.4
4977
#17
19.31.0
17.516.5
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsEarned