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Red70
959316.8
610625.7
594832.5
Blue42
660814.3
477522.6
951321.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6055203040507080907042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +19
8Coral scored#6
30Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
48Total teleop29
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
2Foul points0
70Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5948
#20
32.51.4
16.317.6
Auto4.7
Teleop25.5
End2.4
red by 9.9
22.60.6
14.313.7
Auto3.3
Teleop18.5
End0.8
Second
6106
#21
25.70.8
21.322.1
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End1.2
red by 4.0
9513
#30
21.71.0
17.216.2
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End4.7
Third
9593
#26
16.81.4
15.116.5
Auto3.5
Teleop13.1
End0.2
red by 2.5
6608
#29
14.31.0
17.316.2
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed