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Red58
348026.7
497719.3
478220.3
Blue112
347868.5
588717.5
594832.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6411020408010012014016058112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+46
Endgame+56
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +32
8Coral scored#14
29Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
43Total teleop75
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#4
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
2Foul points0
58Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3480
#18
26.70.3
24.223.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End1.6
blue by 41.7
68.52.1
56.958.9
Auto13.4
Teleop45.4
End9.7
Second
4782
#27
20.30.5
17.517.0
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End3.5
blue by 12.2
5948
#20
32.52.1
18.820.8
Auto4.7
Teleop25.5
End2.4
Third
4977
#17
19.30.3
15.515.2
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End0.9
red by 1.8
17.51.2
15.216.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned