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Red80
477522.6
571633.0
588717.5
Blue62
660814.3
928034.7
460315.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78820501001502002508062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+26Teleop
+24Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +23
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points28
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
18Processor points12
16Net points8
34Algae points20
71Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points6
80Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5716
#22
33.00.8
29.330.1
Auto3.9
Teleop26.9
End2.2
blue by 1.7
34.71.7
34.432.7
Auto4.5
Teleop27.5
End2.7
Second
22.60.6
19.520.1
Auto3.3
Teleop18.5
End0.8
red by 7.4
4603
#24
15.21.7
17.816.1
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.9
Third
17.50.6
16.417.0
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End2.0
red by 3.2
6608
#29
14.31.5
17.616.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned