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Red75
460315.2
463552.1
473517.5
Blue74
435530.5
440056.2
610625.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions911014060801201407574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave0
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +15
8Coral scored#6
27Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
45Total teleop30
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
75Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.10.6
45.144.5
Auto11.8
Teleop31.2
End9.2
blue by 4.0
56.21.0
48.547.5
Auto16.4
Teleop34.5
End5.3
Second
4735
#11
17.50.8
16.615.8
Auto2.1
Teleop11.9
End3.5
blue by 13.0
4355
#14
30.51.5
16.515.0
Auto5.5
Teleop21.7
End3.3
Third
4603
#24
15.20.8
20.419.7
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.9
blue by 10.5
6106
#21
25.71.1
22.621.5
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsEarned