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Red117
463552.1
928034.7
810520.4
Blue149
670231.0
473130.6
594832.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13710750150200117149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+42
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points15
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +39
19Coral scored#24
69Coral points88
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
6Processor points18
16Net points24
22Algae points42
91Total teleop130
Reef
6L4#12
6L3#5
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
117Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.10.3
52.452.1
Auto11.8
Teleop31.2
End9.2
red by 19.6
5948
#20
32.50.9
29.630.5
Auto4.7
Teleop25.5
End2.4
Second
34.70.3
35.034.6
Auto4.5
Teleop27.5
End2.7
red by 3.7
6702
#10
31.00.9
28.129.0
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End1.7
Third
8105
#15
20.40.3
20.720.4
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End4.5
blue by 10.1
4731
#19
30.60.8
27.928.7
Auto3.4
Teleop27.0
End0.1