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Red79
634834.8
90536.5
Blue36
77257.0
617019.1
66065.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5638020801007936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
8Coral scored#3
29Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
39Total teleop17
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
24Foul points6
79Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.9
31.432.3
Auto4.4
Teleop29.1
End1.4
red by 15.7
6170
#21
19.10.4
19.719.3
Auto3.3
Teleop14.5
End1.3
Second
8.80.9
8.49.3
Auto2.3
Teleop5.3
End1.2
red by 1.8
7725
#36
7.00.3
7.36.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End-0.2
Third
9053
#27
6.50.9
6.97.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End1.1
red by 1.3
6606
#43
5.20.3
6.36.0
Auto1.0
Teleop2.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed