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Red116
348023.1
463545.1
393324.3
Blue59
617019.1
497716.0
477513.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10953020408010012014016011659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+45Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
2Coral scored#1
8Coral points6
17Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +34
16Coral scored#11
59Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
83Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#5
6L3#4
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
116Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.11.3
42.844.0
Auto9.2
Teleop28.6
End7.3
red by 26.0
6170
#21
19.10.1
19.319.2
Auto3.3
Teleop14.5
End1.3
Second
3933
#19
24.31.3
22.623.9
Auto3.0
Teleop19.8
End1.6
red by 8.4
4977
#35
16.00.1
16.116.0
Auto2.0
Teleop12.8
End1.2
Third
3480
#13
23.11.4
22.323.7
Auto3.3
Teleop17.5
End2.3
red by 9.6
4775
#25
13.50.1
12.912.8
Auto2.3
Teleop10.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned7%Barge oddsMissed