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Red75
930120.6
829020.9
667615.8
Blue13
458416.8
90536.5
59328.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544102060801007513

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+48Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +48
10Coral scored#1
36Coral points2
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
50Total teleop2
Reef
5L4#1
4L3#0
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#2
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points0
75Total score13

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.92.4
17.319.7
Auto3.8
Teleop14.2
End2.9
red by 4.1
4584
#26
16.82.4
17.915.5
Auto2.9
Teleop12.2
End1.7
Second
9301
#24
20.62.4
17.419.8
Auto2.8
Teleop12.3
End5.5
red by 11.9
5932
#33
8.72.4
11.18.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End0.9
Third
6676
#31
15.82.4
13.415.8
Auto2.1
Teleop12.2
End1.5
red by 9.3
9053
#27
6.52.2
8.76.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed