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Red119
352222.0
664729.0
610622.4
Blue110
352621.0
595923.7
393324.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9589406080120140160119110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+7Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
14Coral scored#17
52Coral points61
3Processor algae#3
9Net algae#5
18Processor points18
36Net points20
54Algae points38
106Total teleop99
Reef
6L4#8
2L3#3
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
119Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6647
#15
29.00.7
28.829.5
Auto3.0
Teleop24.7
End1.3
red by 4.7
3933
#19
24.30.5
23.924.4
Auto3.0
Teleop19.8
End1.6
Second
22.40.8
22.222.9
Auto3.5
Teleop17.9
End1.0
blue by 1.3
5959
#23
23.70.5
23.323.8
Auto3.7
Teleop17.2
End2.8
Third
3522
#28
22.00.7
21.722.4
Auto2.5
Teleop18.5
End1.0
red by 0.9
21.00.5
20.621.1
Auto4.0
Teleop15.3
End1.7