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Red140
949671.2
1024811.3
886638.5
Blue96
153339.6
572733.3
1058317.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133915010015020014096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+46Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +46
17Coral scored#8
60Coral points28
4Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
24Processor points6
12Net points16
36Algae points22
96Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#4
8L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
140Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.20.5
70.871.2
Auto17.4
Teleop48.7
End5.2
red by 31.6
39.60.1
39.539.6
Auto9.7
Teleop23.1
End6.8
Second
38.50.5
38.038.5
Auto4.8
Teleop33.0
End0.7
red by 5.1
5727
#12
33.30.1
33.233.3
Auto8.6
Teleop22.6
End2.1
Third
11.30.5
10.811.3
Auto1.8
Teleop9.4
End0.1
blue by 6.5
17.80.1
17.717.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End3.1