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Red138
693220.6
949671.2
900830.5
Blue58
1024811.3
1030415.7
122521.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10851010015013858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+68Teleop
+80Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave6
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +44
17Coral scored#10
60Coral points36
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
94Total teleop50
Reef
10L4#3
6L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points0
138Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.21.9
59.661.5
Auto17.4
Teleop48.7
End5.2
red by 49.9
21.30.9
17.116.3
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End1.3
Second
9008
#14
30.53.2
20.823.9
Auto3.7
Teleop24.2
End2.6
red by 14.7
15.71.4
19.217.8
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End0.3
Third
6932
#15
20.63.2
12.515.7
Auto1.2
Teleop14.5
End4.9
red by 9.4
11.31.4
17.415.9
Auto1.8
Teleop9.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed