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Red101
350629.9
693220.6
960514.1
Blue157
949671.2
319621.4
272423.6
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73126050100150200101157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+56
Endgame+68
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave9
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points24
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +32
16Coral scored#17
56Coral points62
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#7
12Processor points18
8Net points28
20Algae points46
76Total teleop108
Reef
4L4#7
7L3#7
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
12Foul points0
101Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#13
29.90.3
29.129.4
Auto4.6
Teleop21.0
End4.3
blue by 41.4
71.22.2
63.866.0
Auto17.4
Teleop48.7
End5.2
Second
6932
#15
20.60.3
21.521.8
Auto1.2
Teleop14.5
End4.9
blue by 3.0
23.63.4
22.826.2
Auto5.8
Teleop16.3
End1.5
Third
9605
#21
14.10.2
16.016.2
Auto1.8
Teleop11.4
End0.9
blue by 7.3
3196
#17
21.43.4
17.921.3
Auto4.1
Teleop15.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned