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Red171
872742.9
949671.2
842937.2
Blue104
663926.9
1030415.7
886638.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1677250100150200250171104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+65Teleop
+67Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave3
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points16
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +47
29Coral scored#17
104Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
6Processor points6
20Net points16
26Algae points22
130Total teleop83
Reef
12L4#6
10L3#5
8L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points0
171Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.20.9
71.972.9
Auto17.4
Teleop48.7
End5.2
red by 32.8
38.51.4
38.840.1
Auto4.8
Teleop33.0
End0.7
Second
42.90.9
42.643.6
Auto7.5
Teleop34.3
End1.1
red by 16.0
26.91.4
25.026.3
Auto4.5
Teleop20.0
End2.4
Third
37.20.9
37.037.9
Auto10.5
Teleop25.0
End1.7
red by 21.5
15.71.5
13.915.4
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed