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Red94
122521.3
153339.6
373727.3
Blue47
493514.3
319621.4
915024.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10268501509447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+39Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
11Coral scored#6
39Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
57Total teleop32
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#9
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
94Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.60.6
38.939.5
Auto9.7
Teleop23.1
End6.8
red by 15.4
9150
#22
24.21.0
23.722.7
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End1.0
Second
27.30.7
25.125.8
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End8.4
red by 5.8
3196
#17
21.41.1
22.421.3
Auto4.1
Teleop15.7
End1.6
Third
21.30.6
21.121.7
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End1.3
red by 7.0
4935
#16
14.31.1
16.215.0
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed