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Red110
153339.6
572733.3
1058317.8
Blue70
872742.9
842937.2
493514.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9310305015020011070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+14Teleop
+26Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +4
10Coral scored#12
36Coral points42
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
54Total teleop50
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +40
14Foul points0
110Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.60.1
39.439.5
Auto9.7
Teleop23.1
End6.8
blue by 3.2
42.90.6
43.442.9
Auto7.5
Teleop34.3
End1.1
Second
5727
#12
33.30.1
33.133.3
Auto8.6
Teleop22.6
End2.1
blue by 3.9
37.20.6
37.837.2
Auto10.5
Teleop25.0
End1.7
Third
17.80.1
17.617.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End3.1
red by 3.5
4935
#16
14.30.6
14.914.3
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End1.5